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- This is a discussion on AA vs KK Facing an all In within the online poker forums, in the Cash Game Hand Analysis section; I was playing a live game yesterday. I had KK in the big Blind.
- Texas Poker Malaysia. 12 Followers Just For Fun. Incredible poker hand!! AA vs KK vs QQ texas hold'em.
Texas Holdem Aa Vs Kk 1
AA vs AK
One of the most misplayed hands in no limit Texas Hold’em is ace-king, or Big Slick as it is often affectionately referred to. Although it is ranked as the fifth strongest hand in Hold’em, when suited, it is not as strong in all-in confrontations as its ranking would suggest, especially in when it runs into aces in an AA vs AK confrontation. This article should give you some background information on odds and probability for the poker hands AA vs AK.
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Odds and probability of AA vs AK happening
At a ten handed table you will be dealt suited ace-king once in every 332 hands, ace-king offsuit once in every 111 hands and ace-king of any sort once every 83 hands or so. Ace-king is a great hand to move all in with when short-stacked in a tournament or even to call a short-stacks all in move, as it is only ever really in trouble if the hand it is against is aces or kings, and even against the latter it will improve to win around 32% of the time thanks to the ace. In fact ace-king will improve to top pair or better 32.4% of the time.
Odds of winning when you have AA vs AK
However, the times you are in an AA vs KK situation you are completely crushed. Should you be unlucky enough to get Big Slick all in against aces then you will be a massive 91.84% underdog, although that improves slightly to 87.6% if the ace-king is suited and does not share suites with the other player’s aces. The reason ace-king fairs so badly in AA vs AK battles is the fact it cannot pair its ace to win, as that would give the other player a set, not can it flop a solitary king as the other player’s aces would still be leading. That means for ace-king to beat aces it has to catch at least two kings or improve to an unlikely flush or straight.
Although those over at betfairpoker.com will acknowledge that you will be in serious trouble if you do find yourself with AA vs AK if you hold the latter, you should not be too worried about finding yourself in the predicament too often. When holding ace-king your opponent will hold aces or kings around once in every 23 hands at a ten handed table and will hold precisely aces once every 46 hand or so.
Whether using the Betfair Bonus or not, the odds are absolutely tiny if there are only two of you dealt cards, the odds are around 407 to one against it happening, so feel free to shove your ace-king without fear of running into the dreaded AA vs KK.
Famous AA vs AK confrontations
One player who did run his ace-king down the throat of aces was 2004 World Series of Poker Main Event Champion Joe Hachem, and he lived to tell the tail. During Day 1 of the 2007 World Series of Poker, and with blinds of 300/600, the action folded around to Jimmy Cleveborg who looked down at AdAc and made it 1,600 to play. Two players folded and Hachem, from the big blind, re-raised to 4,600 holding AhKd, not knowing he was now an 93% under dog in the hand. Cleveborg moved all-in and Hachem called off the rest of his relatively short-stack. Despite only holding 6.5% equity, Hachem caught a miracle Td-Qh-Jh flop, giving him a Broadway straight, itself a 77 to one shot!
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Understanding Probability In Texas Holdem Is An Essential Aspect Of Profitable Play
– Pre-Flop Probability Guide
Ever wondered how often you will be dealt Aces? Or what the chances of facing an over-pair are when you hold Jack-Jack? This section of the site will give you the probability of certain hands before the flop (this page) and in later pages the chances of certain flops (for example one suit flop probability) and the chances of dominating hands being out there to your ace-x hand (where x is one of several small to medium cards).
We start by looking at how the cards in the deck can be dealt based on a random distribution of the 1326 ways of 2 cards falling and how often you’ll expect to be dealt certain hands. Then we take suitedness into account – since there are less ways of being dealt 2 suited cards. Later articles in this series will continue with the essential poker probability and card distribution stats you need.
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Firstly, where did the number 1326 come from? Well with 52 cards in the deck your first card is 1/52 this is then multiplied by 1/51 and the total divided by 2 (since it does not matter what order your cards are dealt in) giving 1326 combinations of all cards in any suit.
Of course suitedness is not often important, especially for low cards. The next question is then – what is the number of unique starting hands in Texas Holdem, not counting suits? The answer here is 169 unique hands.
Pre-Flop Poker Probability - 169 Distinct Starting Hands
Now we are getting somewhere. Next we can use the numbers above to work out what the probability of being dealt AA, KK (or in fact any pair) is. This is a case of taking the total number of possible hands and then seeing how many of these are your pair. We will take a pair of Kings as an example. Of the 1326 possible combinations there are 6 ways of being dealt this hand pre-flop. The 6 combinations possible are Kh-Kd, Kh-Kc, Kh-Ks, Kd-Kc, Kd-Ks and Kc-Ks.
6 / 1326 = 0.00435 or 221-to-1
So the chances of being dealt any specific pair are 221:1 against, in fact with 13 possible pairs the chances of being dealt any pair go up to 16-to-1 (there are 78 pair combinations from 1326 total).
Next we can look at unpaired hands, a specific example is the number of ways of being dealt Ace-king pre-flop. Here we have more possible combinations, since there are 8 cards that can be dealt first and then 3 remaining cards to make this hand (we will ignore suitedness for the moment). This gives 16 ways in which A-K can be dealt out of the 1326 combinations – a probability of 0.0121% or approximately 82-to-1. In fact this is the same for any unpaired hand when you ignore the suits.
Pre-Flop Poker Probability - Probability Of Hands Pre-Flop Chart
The reference table below gives probabilities of being dealt specific hands pre-flop: The next article in this series will look at the chances of being dealt hands at the same time as one or more opponent is dealt a higher hand – for example AA vs KK and AK vs QQ.
Pre-flop Hand | Odds | |
AA | 0.045 | Same for any pocket pair |
AK (any suits) | 0.012 | Any 2 cards not inc. suits |
AK (suited) | 0.003 | |
Pair 10-10 or better | 0.023 | 10-10, JJ, QQ, KK or AA |
AK, AQ or AJ | 0.036 | Suits not considered |
2 Suited Cards 10+ | 0.03 | |
Any Suited Connector | 0.039 | 23 suited or better |
2 Cards Jack + | 0.09 | Suits not considered |
Best Texas Holdem Free Online
Finally we can look at how combinations of pre-flop hands work, asking the question what is the probability of being dealt a playable hand for each position. We will use arbitary early, middle and late position combinations here to demonstrate – the actually hands you play is up to your personal style!
Position | Combinations | ||
Early Position | AA to JJ, AKo, AQs | 46 | 29:1 |
Early Mid Position | AA to 99, AQo+, AJs | 18:1 | |
Mid Position | 77+, A10o+ A8s+ KQ+ | 140 | 9,5:1 |
Late Position | 55+, A7+, QJo+, 78s+ | 5,5:1 |
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